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X-ray spectral analysis

Parameter

estimation

Minimizer, stepping,

local covariance

MCMC or nested sampling

–> Buchner+14

Stuck in local optima, non-gaussian optima, many parameters

Combining

multiple observations

Stacking the data

Hierarchical model –> Buchner+17a

Average may not be meaningful

Redshift blur

Goodness of fit

chi² test

Visualize!

Monte Carlo simulations

Model comparison

Invalid if at parameter border, model non-linear or not in the high-data regime (i.e., never valid)

Model comparison

Likelihood ratio, F-test

Bayesian evidence or likelihood ratio,

calibrate with Monte Carlo simulations

–> Buchner+14

Invalid if at parameter border, model non-linear or not in the high-data regime (i.e., never valid)